The Relationship of Climate Change and Malaria Incidence in the Gambella Region, Ethiopia.

This study examined the relationship between climate variables and malaria incidence in Ethiopia’s Gambella region using 30 years of satellite-derived climate data and 10 years of malaria records. Employing autoregressive modeling, the analysis revealed significant upward trends in rainfall, relative humidity, and temperature, which correlated with increased malaria cases. Relative humidity had the strongest immediate and sustained impact on malaria incidence, while rainfall showed delayed effects and temperature had minimal influence. These findings emphasize the importance of integrating climate data into malaria control strategies, advocating for early warning systems, improved health infrastructure, and targeted interventions like insecticide-treated nets to mitigate climate-driven malaria risks in vulnerable regions.

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